Politics

Polls and Prediction Markets Fail Again

Updated 2026-08-13 12:55 UTC 1 source Negative

Wisconsin and Michigan primaries have exposed the limitations of polls and prediction markets. This is the second time in a week that these tools failed to accurately predict outcomes, raising questions about their reliability.

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CNBC
It's the second time in just over a week that polls and prediction markets' odds were off, following a miss in the Democratic U.S. senate primary in Michigan.
2026-08-13 12:30 UTC
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