Business

Stock Market Indicator Signals Downturn

Updated 2026-09-28 13:55 UTC 1 source Neutral

Jim Paulsen's analysis suggests the usual strong performance of stocks from November to April may not hold this year, based on lagged indicators and historical backtesting.

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MarketWatch

The stock market usually booms in the November-to-April stretch. This indicator suggests otherwise.

Jim Paulsen thinks lagged indicators suggest the usual ‘best buying season’ for stocks may not be applicable this time and backtesting his model to 1970 shows meagre returns.

2026-09-28 13:41 UTC